Every Monday, I check the number of listings that have gone under contract in the last 30 days. As of Monday (10/27/2008), 50 homes and condos had gone under contract in the last 30 days out of 2,311 residential listings (home, condo, and multifamily listings) on the Golden Isles Multiple Listing Service (MLS). This was an increase of 10 from the previous week’s 40 under contract. Based on the data, a residential listing on the Golden Isles MLS has a 2.2% chance of getting a contract.
When one breaks down the numbers to focus on St. Simons Island market activity, the numbers show 10 listings under contract in the last 30 days out of 896 residential listings. This equates to a 1.1% chance of getting a contract. The mainland fares a little better with a 2.8% percent chance of getting a contract on a residential listing (40 listings under contract last 30 days out of 1,415 listings).
The listings that do enter into a contract have list prices that reflect real value to the handfull of Buyers in our market. Unfortunately, most of the 2,311 residential listings on our MLS are priced too high. These Sellers say: “well, we are not going to give our home away;” “we have to get $XXX,XXX for our home;” ”we paid $XXX,XXX for our home and we are not going to sell if for less;” “we have to get $XXX,XXX because we owe $XXX,XXX on our mortgage.” The Sellers refuse to lower their price to attract buyers and contracts.
The market does not care what the Seller paid, the amount of the mortgage, or what the Seller wants for the home. Buyers are aware of recent sales prices. They will pay the same or a lower price for a similar home. But, in this market, they are not going to pay more for their home. There are enough Sellers that have to sell who are willing to decrease their list prices to attract a Buyer and an offer. The Buyers will buy homes owned by these Sellers.
Here’s my point. If you don’t really need to sell now, pull your home off the market. Tell your agent to cancel the listing. Let him or her know that you are going to wait a few years until prices trend higher.
If you have to sell, then wait no more. Start moving the price down until you see Buyers showing interest in your home (showings and offers). Every day you hold on to your overpriced home means lost opportunity for you: more mortgage, tax, utility, and insurance payments; further erosoin in the value of the home (we will probably see prices go down another 5 to 10%); and the missed chance to buy your next home at a great price and a great interest rate. The sooner you sell, the sooner you cut your losses.
The choice is simple. Pull your listing or price it to sell. The total number of listings will tumble and Buyers will see the “must sell” listings.